Abstract
This study was developed to predict the withdrawal versus completion of university distance education programs. The model was examined among a pilot sample of 127 students and then re-examined among 587 students. Mixed paradigms were used. The quantitative approach, using factor analysis followed by discriminant analysis, was the dominant technique. This study seems to suggest that, reading abilities; syllabus content; as well as friends' encouragement, and their belief in distance learning are the three factors that significantly discriminate between the students who intend to leave and those who remain at the Arab Open University in Saudi Arabia.