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FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATE: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Journal article

FORECASTING EXCHANGE RATE: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Mohammed Ahmed Ali Alsaleh and Ahmad Mohamad Al-Kandary
Advances and applications in statistics, Vol.16(2), pp.191-199
01/06/2010

Abstract

Mathematics Physical Sciences Science & Technology Statistics & Probability
There is an increasing importance to forecast the exchange rate as international trading takes centre stage in more and more countries. In this paper, we postulate some simple time series models that can be used for quite effective and accurate forecasts in International Forex markets of major international currencies in relation to Kuwait's Dinar. We have compared various time series models and observed that Box-Jenkins ARIMA(1, 1, 1) gives the best model for forecasting exchange rates.

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