Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

Marie Ng; Tom Fleming; Margaret Robinson; Blake Thomson; Nicholas Graetz; Christopher Margono; Erin C Mullany; Stan Biryukov; Cristiana Abbafati; Semaw Ferede Abera; Jerry P Abraham; Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh; Tom Achoki; Fadia S AlBuhairan; Zewdie A Alemu; Rafael Alfonso; Mohammed K Ali; Raghib Ali; Nelson Alvis Guzman; Walid Ammar; Palwasha Anwari; Amitava Banerjee; Simon Barquera; Sanjay Basu; Derrick A Bennett; Zulfiqar Bhutta; Jed Blore; Norberto Cabral; Ismael Campos Nonato; Jung-Chen Chang; Rajiv Chowdhury; Karen J Courville; Michael H Criqui; David K Cundiff; Kaustubh C Dabhadkar; Lalit Dandona; Adrian Davis; Anand Dayama; Samath D Dharmaratne; Eric L Ding; Adnan M Durrani; Alireza Esteghamati; Farshad Farzadfar; Derek F J Fay; Valery L Feigin; Abraham Flaxman; Mohammad H Forouzanfar; Atsushi Goto; Mark A Green; Rajeev Gupta; Nima Hafezi-Nejad; Graeme J Hankey; Heather C Harewood; Rasmus Havmoeller; Simon Hay; Lucia Hernandez; Abdullatif Husseini; Bulat T Idrisov; Nayu Ikeda; Farhad Islami; Eiman Jahangir; Simerjot K Jassal; Sun Ha Jee; Mona Jeffreys; Jost B Jonas; Edmond K Kabagambe; Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa; Andre Pascal Kengne; Yousef Saleh Khader; Young-Ho Khang; Daniel Kim; Ruth W Kimokoti; Jonas M Kinge; Yoshihiro Kokubo; Soewarta Kosen; Gene Kwan; Taavi Lai; Mall Leinsalu; Yichong Li; Xiaofeng Liang; Shiwei Liu; Giancarlo Logroscino; Paulo A Lotufo; Yuan Lu; Jixiang Ma; Nana Kwaku Mainoo; George A Mensah; Tony R Merriman; Ali H Mokdad; Joanna Moschandreas; Mohsen Naghavi; Aliya Naheed; Devina Nand; K M Venkat Narayan; Erica Leigh Nelson; Marian L Neuhouser; Muhammad Imran Nisar; Takayoshi Ohkubo; Samuel O Oti; Andrea Pedroza; Dorairaj Prabhakaran; Nobhojit Roy; Uchechukwu Sampson; Hyeyoung Seo; Sadaf G Sepanlou; Kenji Shibuya; Rahman Shiri; Ivy Shiue; Gitanjali M Singh; Jasvinder A Singh; Vegard Skirbekk; Nicolas J C Stapelberg; Lela Sturua; Bryan L Sykes; Martin Tobias; Bach X Tran; Leonardo Trasande; Hideaki Toyoshima; Steven van de Vijver; Tommi J Vasankari; J Lennert Veerman; Gustavo Velasquez-Melendez; Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov; Stein Emil Vollset; Theo Vos; Claire Wang; XiaoRong Wang; Elisabete Weiderpass; Andrea Werdecker; Jonathan L Wright; Y Claire Yang; Hiroshi Yatsuya; Jihyun Yoon; Seok-Jun Yoon; Yong Zhao; Maigeng Zhou; Shankuan Zhu; Alan D Lopez; Christopher J L Murray; Emmanuela Gakidou

doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8

Back

Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

Journal article

Peer reviewed

Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

Marie Ng, Tom Fleming, Margaret Robinson, Blake Thomson, Nicholas Graetz, Christopher Margono, Erin C Mullany, Stan Biryukov, Cristiana Abbafati, Semaw Ferede Abera, …

The Lancet (British edition), Vol.384(9945), pp.766-781

30/08/2014

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8

PMID: 24880830

Abstract

Adolescent

Adult

Child

Cost of Illness

Female

Humans

Male

Models, Theoretical

Obesity - epidemiology

Overweight - epidemiology

Prevalence

Regression Analysis

In 2010, overweight and obesity were estimated to cause 3·4 million deaths, 3·9% of years of life lost, and 3·8% of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) worldwide. The rise in obesity has led to widespread calls for regular monitoring of changes in overweight and obesity prevalence in all populations. Comparable, up-to-date information about levels and trends is essential to quantify population health effects and to prompt decision makers to prioritise action. We estimate the global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980-2013. We systematically identified surveys, reports, and published studies (n=1769) that included data for height and weight, both through physical measurements and self-reports. We used mixed effects linear regression to correct for bias in self-reports. We obtained data for prevalence of obesity and overweight by age, sex, country, and year (n=19,244) with a spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression model to estimate prevalence with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Worldwide, the proportion of adults with a body-mass index (BMI) of 25 kg/m(2) or greater increased between 1980 and 2013 from 28·8% (95% UI 28·4-29·3) to 36·9% (36·3-37·4) in men, and from 29·8% (29·3-30·2) to 38·0% (37·5-38·5) in women. Prevalence has increased substantially in children and adolescents in developed countries; 23·8% (22·9-24·7) of boys and 22·6% (21·7-23·6) of girls were overweight or obese in 2013. The prevalence of overweight and obesity has also increased in children and adolescents in developing countries, from 8·1% (7·7-8·6) to 12·9% (12·3-13·5) in 2013 for boys and from 8·4% (8·1-8·8) to 13·4% (13·0-13·9) in girls. In adults, estimated prevalence of obesity exceeded 50% in men in Tonga and in women in Kuwait, Kiribati, Federated States of Micronesia, Libya, Qatar, Tonga, and Samoa. Since 2006, the increase in adult obesity in developed countries has slowed down. Because of the established health risks and substantial increases in prevalence, obesity has become a major global health challenge. Not only is obesity increasing, but no national success stories have been reported in the past 33 years. Urgent global action and leadership is needed to help countries to more effectively intervene. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Metrics

1 Record Views

See more details

Details

Title: Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
Creators - without role: Marie Ng - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Tom Fleming - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Margaret Robinson - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Blake Thomson - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Nicholas Graetz - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Christopher Margono - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Erin C Mullany - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Stan Biryukov - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Cristiana Abbafati - Sapienza University of Rome
Semaw Ferede Abera - Mekelle University
Jerry P Abraham - The University of Texas at San Antonio
Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh - Birzeit University
Tom Achoki - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Fadia S AlBuhairan - King Abdullah International Medical Research Center
Zewdie A Alemu - Debre Markos University
Rafael Alfonso - University of Washington
Mohammed K Ali - Emory University
Raghib Ali - University of Oxford
Nelson Alvis Guzman - University of Cartagena
Walid Ammar - Ministry of Public Health
Palwasha Anwari - UNFPA, Kabul, Afghanistan
Amitava Banerjee - University of Birmingham
Simon Barquera - Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública
Sanjay Basu - Stanford University
Derrick A Bennett - University of Oxford
Zulfiqar Bhutta - Aga Khan University
Jed Blore - University of Melbourne
Norberto Cabral - Universidade da Região de Joinville
Ismael Campos Nonato - National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
Jung-Chen Chang - National Taiwan University
Rajiv Chowdhury - University of Cambridge
Karen J Courville - Hospital del Niño
Michael H Criqui - University of California, San Diego
David K Cundiff - Independent Researcher, Long Beach, CA, USA
Kaustubh C Dabhadkar - Emory University
Lalit Dandona - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Adrian Davis - Public Health England
Anand Dayama - Emory University
Samath D Dharmaratne - University of Peradeniya
Eric L Ding - Harvard University
Adnan M Durrani - National Institutes of Health
Alireza Esteghamati - Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Farshad Farzadfar - Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Derek F J Fay - Public Health England
Valery L Feigin - Auckland University of Technology
Abraham Flaxman - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Mohammad H Forouzanfar - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Atsushi Goto - National Center for Global Health and Medicine
Mark A Green - University of Sheffield
Rajeev Gupta - Fortis Escorts Hospital
Nima Hafezi-Nejad - Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Graeme J Hankey - University of Western Australia
Heather C Harewood - Eunice Gibson Polyclinic, Bridgetown, Barbados
Rasmus Havmoeller - Karolinska Institutet
Simon Hay - University of Oxford
Lucia Hernandez - Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública
Abdullatif Husseini - Birzeit University
Bulat T Idrisov - Brandeis University
Nayu Ikeda - National Institute of Health Sciences
Farhad Islami - American Cancer Society
Eiman Jahangir - Ochsner Medical Center
Simerjot K Jassal - University of California, San Diego
Sun Ha Jee - Yonsei University
Mona Jeffreys - University of Bristol
Jost B Jonas - University Medical Centre Mannheim
Edmond K Kabagambe - Vanderbilt University
Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa - Supreme Council Of Health
Andre Pascal Kengne - South African Medical Research Council
Yousef Saleh Khader - Jordan University of Science and Technology
Young-Ho Khang - Seoul National University Hospital
Daniel Kim - Northeastern University
Ruth W Kimokoti - Simmons University
Jonas M Kinge - Norwegian Institute of Public Health
Yoshihiro Kokubo - National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
Soewarta Kosen - Center for Community Empowerment, Health Policy & Informatics, NIHRD, Jakarta, Indonesia
Gene Kwan - Boston Medical Center
Taavi Lai - Estonian Environmental Research Center
Mall Leinsalu - National Institute for Health Development
Yichong Li - National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention
Xiaofeng Liang - Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention
Shiwei Liu - Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention
Giancarlo Logroscino - University of Bari Aldo Moro
Paulo A Lotufo - Universidade de São Paulo
Yuan Lu - Harvard University
Jixiang Ma - Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention
Nana Kwaku Mainoo - Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine
George A Mensah - National Heart Lung and Blood Institute
Tony R Merriman - University of Otago
Ali H Mokdad - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Joanna Moschandreas - University of Crete
Mohsen Naghavi - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Aliya Naheed - International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research
Devina Nand - Ministry of Health
K M Venkat Narayan - Emory University
Erica Leigh Nelson - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Marian L Neuhouser - Fred Hutch Cancer Center
Muhammad Imran Nisar - Aga Khan University Medical Center, Karachi, Pakistan
Takayoshi Ohkubo - Teikyo University
Samuel O Oti - African Population and Health Research Center
Andrea Pedroza - Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública
Dorairaj Prabhakaran - Centre for Chronic Disease Control
Nobhojit Roy - BARC Hospital, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Uchechukwu Sampson - Vanderbilt University
Hyeyoung Seo - Department of Public Health, Graduate School, Seoul, Korea
Sadaf G Sepanlou - Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Kenji Shibuya - The University of Tokyo
Rahman Shiri - Finnish Institute of Occupational Health
Ivy Shiue - Heriot-Watt University
Gitanjali M Singh - Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA USA
Jasvinder A Singh - University of Alabama at Birmingham
Vegard Skirbekk - Norwegian Institute of Public Health
Nicolas J C Stapelberg - Griffith University
Lela Sturua - National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
Bryan L Sykes - University of California, Irvine
Martin Tobias - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Bach X Tran - Bloomberg
Leonardo Trasande - New York University School of Medicine
Hideaki Toyoshima - Anjo Kosei Hospital
Steven van de Vijver - African Population and Health Research Center
Tommi J Vasankari - UKK Institute for Health Promotion Research, Tampere, Finland
J Lennert Veerman - University of Queensland
Gustavo Velasquez-Melendez - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov - National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
Stein Emil Vollset
Theo Vos - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Claire Wang - Columbia University
XiaoRong Wang - Shandong University
Elisabete Weiderpass - Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Stockholm, Sweden
Andrea Werdecker - Institute of Medical Sociology and Social Medicine, Marburg, Hessen, Germany
Jonathan L Wright - School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA
Y Claire Yang - University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
Hiroshi Yatsuya - Fujita Health University
Jihyun Yoon - Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul, Korea
Seok-Jun Yoon - University of Seoul
Yong Zhao - Chongqing Medical University
Maigeng Zhou - National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
Shankuan Zhu - Zhejiang University
Alan D Lopez - University of Melbourne
Christopher J L Murray - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Emmanuela Gakidou - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Publication Details: The Lancet (British edition), Vol.384(9945), pp.766-781
Grant note: P2C HD050924 / NICHD NIH HHS P30 AG017253 / NIA NIH HHS MR/L003120/1 / Medical Research Council 095066 / Wellcome Trust P50 CA058223 / NCI NIH HHS RG/08/014/24067 / British Heart Foundation
Identifiers: 9913726308331
Academic Unit: Alfaisal University
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article