Abstract
Flood risk mapping is vital in watershed management and planning, especially in reducing flood damages. In this study, a flood risk map was developed for the Wadi Al-Lith watershed (Saudi Arabia) by combining geographic information system techniques with a multi-criteria decision-making method known as the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Several factors were investigated in the study, including elevation, slope, topographic wetness index, drainage density, rainfall, soil and land use, and land cover. The watershed was divided into five regions: very high, high, moderate, low, and very low flooding danger areas. The results showed that 35.86% of the total watershed area is under high and very high flood risks, while 26.85% of the total area is under a moderate flood risk. Less than 38% of the total watershed area was under a low flooding risk. The results of the developed model were validated with the flooding event that occurred on 23 November 2018 in the study area. The model was also compared with the flood mapping of the 100-year return period generated by the HEC-RAS software. Both the developed model and the HEC-RAS software showed similar results. The findings demonstrated that the developed model could be used to develop flood risk maps, especially in watersheds that experience scarcity and shortages in the short-interval rainfall measurements and the stream flow gauges (e.g., Wadi Al-Lith watershed and other watersheds in Saudi Arabia). Additionally, the obtained results can provide helpful knowledge for the policy- and decision-makers to make the right decisions regarding the effectiveness of the protective structures of the study area against the risk of flash flooding in the future.