Abstract
In this work, we propose a mathematical model to analyze the outbreak of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The proposed model portrays the multiple transmission pathways in the infection dynamics and stresses the role of the environmental reservoir in the transmission of the disease. The basic reproduction number R0 is calculated from the model to assess the transmissibility of the COVID-19. We discuss sensitivity analysis to clarify the importance of epidemic parameters. The stability theory is used to discuss the local as well as the global properties of the proposed model. The problem is formulated as an optimal control one to minimize the number of infected people and keep the intervention cost as low as possible. Medical mask, isolation, treatment, detergent spray will be involved in the model as time dependent control variables. Finally, we present and discuss results by using numerical simulations.
•We propose a mathematical model to analyze the outbreak of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19).•We find basic reproductive number by using next generation matrix method and discuss the stability of the model.•Sensitivity of the basic reproductive number is performed to understand the most sensitive parameters.•We find optimal control analysis to minimize the number of infective people and maximize recovered people in the population..•We present and discuss results by using numerical simulations.