Abstract
Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) confers high morbidity and mortality, with a death rate reaching 40%. Pre-clinical and clinical studies have cited sex-specific sex hormones as a critical contributor to divergent immunologic responses. Therefore, exploration of sex and sex hormone roles following lung injury and ARDS development is needed. Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) was the first-discovered natural collagenase inhibitor and is located exclusively on the X chromosome. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of circulating TIMP-1, and if concentration differences between males and females correlate with the mortality of ARDS patients.
Human plasma samples from 100 ARDS patients enrolled in Albuterol to Treat Acute Lung Injury (ALTA) trial on the day of randomization were evaluated. The amount of TIMP-1 was measured using an enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA). Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) was computed to assess the predictive power of TIMP-1 for 30 and 90-day mortality. Chi-squared tests and Kaplan-Meier curves were computed to assess different variables and survival.
AUROC analysis of TIMP-1 and 30-day mortality among females showed that TIMP-1 exhibited an AUC of 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78 to 0.97; P = 0.0014) with an optimal cut-off value of 159.7 ng/mL producing a 100% sensitivity and 74% specificity. For 90-day mortality, AUROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67 to 0.97; P = 0.0016) with a similar cut-off value producing a 90% sensitivity and 76.47% specificity. Stratifying subjects by TIMP-1 concentration as high (≥ 159.7 ng/mL) or low (< 159.7 ng/mL) indicated that high TIMP-1 was associated with increased 30 and 90-day mortality rates (all P < 0.0001). Lastly, high TIMP-1 group was associated with worse other outcomes including ventilator-free days (VFDs) and ICU-free days (all P < 0.05).
Circulating TIMP-1 appeared to be a promising biomarker for mortality among females with ARDS. The high TIMP-1 group showed worse VFDs and ICU-free days. Circulating TIMP-1 may be a sex-specific biomarker in the setting of ARDS and could improve ARDS phenotyping as well as provide a novel therapeutic target in females.