Abstract
Circulating Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-DNA has been established as a useful parameter for diagnosis and predicting prognosis in patients with extranodal natural killer T cell lymphoma (ENKTL); however, the role of monitoring of circulating EBV-DNA after complete remission (CR) is not well established. From January 2008 to August 2016, 328 ENKTL patents were enrolled in 2 lymphoma cohorts. Of 171 patients achieved a CR, 81 had available monitoring data for circulating EBV-DNA with negative post-treatment EBV-DNA. Measurement of circulating EBV-DNA was performed from unfractionated whole blood and calculated according to WHO international standards. Median duration of follow-up was 40.4 months. In 31 of the 81 patients (38.8%), circulating EBV-DNA was detected at least once during follow-up, and 16 of these patients (51.6%) experienced relapse. In contrast, only 7 out of 50 (14.0%) patients with consistently undetectable circulating EBV-DNA experienced relapse (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, positive conversion of circulating EBV-DNA was the only independent prognostic factor for occurrence of relapse (HR = 6.552, p < 0.001), progression-free survival (HR = 4.549, p = 0.01), and overall survival (HR = 8.726, p < 0.001). Patients with a higher level of circulating EBV-DNA than 3310 IU/mL (3.52 log(10) IU/mL) showed a strong tendency to relapse (73.3 vs. 31.3%, p = 0.019). In conclusion, positive conversion of circulating EBV-DNA was a valuable indicator of relapse and inferior survival, especially if the level was higher than 3310 IU/mL in ENKTL patients had achieved CR. Close follow-up is necessary for patients developed detectable circulating EBV-DNA after remission.