Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Ali H. Mokdad; Charbel El Bcheraoui; Haidong Wang; Raghid Charara; Ibrahim Khalil; Maziar Moradi-Lakeh; Ashkan Afshin; Michael Collison; Farah Daoud; Adrienne Chew; Kristopher J. Krohn; Austin Carter; Kyle J. Foreman; Fei He; Nicholas J. Kassebaum; Michael Kutz; Mojde Mirarefin; Grant Nguyen; Naris Silpakit; Amber Sligar; Amanuel Alemu Abajobir; Kalkidan Hassen Abate; Kaja M. Abbas; Foad Abd-Allah; Semaw Ferede Abera; Kelemework Adane; Arnav Agarwal; Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri; Alireza Ahmadi; Muktar Beshir Ahmed; Faris Hasan Al Lami; Khurshid Alam; Deena Alasfoor; Reza Alizadeh-Navaei; Fatma Al-Maskari; Rajaa Al-Raddadi; Khalid A. Altirkawi; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Walid Ammar; Nahla Anber; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Palwasha Anwari; Hamid Asayesh; Rana Jawad Asghar; Tesfay Mehari Atey; Euripide Frinel G. Arthur Avokpaho; Tadesse Awoke Ayele; Peter Azzopardi; Umar Bacha; Aleksandra Barac; Till Baernighausen; Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi; David Geffen; Neeraj Bedi; Isabela M. Bensenor; Adugnaw Berhane; Pascal Obong Bessong; Addisu Shunu Beyene; Zulfiqar A. Bhutta; Charles Birungi; Zahid A. Butt; Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado; Hadi Danawi; Jose das Neves; Kebede Deribe; Amare Deribew; Don C. Des Jarlais; Samath D. Dharmaratne; Shirin Djalalinia; Kerrie E. Doyle; Aman Yesuf Endries; Babak Eshrati; Emerito Jose Aquino Faraon; Maryam S. Farvid; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Tesfaye Regassa Feyissa; Florian Fischer; Alberto L. Garcia-Basteiro; Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot; Hailay Abrha Gesesew; Melkamu Dedefo Gishu; Elizabeth Glaser; Philimon N. Gona; Harish Chander Gugnani; Rahul Gupta; Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli; Gessessew Bugssa Hailu; Randah Ribhi Hamadeh; Mitiku Teshome Hambisa; Samer Hamidi; Hilda L. Harb; Habtamu Abera Hareri; Nobuyuki Horita; Abdullatif Husseini; Ahmed Ibrahim; Spencer Lewis James; Jost B. Jonas; Amir Kasaeian; Nigussie Assefa Kassaw; Yousef Saleh Khader; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Gulfaraz Khan; Abdullah Tawfih Abdullah Khoja; Jagdish Khubchandani; Yun Jin Kim; Ai Koyanagi; Barthelemy Kuate Defo; Heidi J. Larson; Asma Abdul Latif; Cheru Tesema Leshargie; Raimundas Lunevicius; Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek; Reza Majdzadeh; Azeem Majeed; Reza Malekzadeh; Tsegahun Manyazewal; Desalegn Markos; Habibolah Masoudi Farid; Alem Mehari; Alemayehu B. Mekonnen; Peter Memiah; Ziad A. Memish; Walter Mendoza; Melkamu Merid Mengesha; Desalegn Tadese Mengistu; Haftay Berhane Mezgebe; Francis Apolinary Mhimbira; Ted R. Miller; Ami R. Moore; Ghina R. Mumtaz; Gopalakrishnan Natarajan; Joel Negin; Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; In-Hwan Oh; Erika Ota; David M. Pereira; Farshad Pourmalek; Mostafa Qorbani; Amir Radfar; Anwar Rafay; Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar; Rajesh Kumar Rai; Usha Ram; David Laith Rawaf; Salman Rawaf; Andre M. N. Renzaho; Satar Rezaei; Mohammad Sadegh Rezai; Hirbo Shore Roba; Gholamreza Roshandel; Mahdi Safdarian; Saeid Safiri; Mohammad Ali Sahraian; Payman Salamati; Abdallah M. Samy; Benn Sartorius; Sadaf G. Sepanlou; Masood Ali Shaikh; Morteza Shamsizadeh; Ephrem Lejore Sibamo Sibamo; Jasvinder A. Singh; Badr H. A. Sobaih; Sergey Soshnikov; Muawiyyah Babale Sufiyan; Bryan L. Sykes; Nuno Taveira; Teketo Kassaw Tegegne; Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi; Tesfalidet Tekelab; Girma Temam Shifa; Mohamad-Hani Temsah; Belay Tesssema; Roman Topor-Madry; Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja; Olalekan A. Uthman; Stein Emil Vollset; Fiseha Wadilo; Tolassa Wakayo; Minyahil Alebachew; Abdulhalik Workicho; Shimelash Bitew Workie; Mohsen Yaghoubi; Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew; Hassen Hamid Yimam; Naohiro Yonemoto; Seok-Jun Yoon; Marcel Yotebieng; Mustafa Z. Younis; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Aisha O. Jumaan; Theo Vos; Simon I. Hay; Mohsen Naghavi; Christopher J. L. Murray; GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Reg

doi:10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0

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Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

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Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study

Ali H. Mokdad, Charbel El Bcheraoui, Haidong Wang, Raghid Charara, Ibrahim Khalil, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Ashkan Afshin, Michael Collison, Farah Daoud, Adrienne Chew, …

International journal of public health, Vol.63(Suppl 1), pp.123-136

01/05/2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0

PMCID: PMC5702264

PMID: 28776249

Abstract

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Science & Technology

We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to estimate trends of HIV/AIDS burden in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries between 1990 and 2015. Tailored estimation methods were used to produce final estimates of mortality. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated by multiplying the mortality rate by population by age-specific life expectancy. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were computed as the prevalence of a sequela multiplied by its disability weight. In 2015, the rate of HIV/AIDS deaths in the EMR was 1.8 (1.4-2.5) per 100,000 population, a 43% increase from 1990 (0.3; 0.2-0.8). Consequently, the rate of YLLs due to HIV/AIDS increased from 15.3 (7.6-36.2) per 100,000 in 1990 to 81.9 (65.3-114.4) in 2015. The rate of YLDs increased from 1.3 (0.6-3.1) in 1990 to 4.4 (2.7-6.6) in 2015. HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality increased in the EMR since 1990. To reverse this trend and achieve epidemic control, EMR countries should strengthen HIV surveillance, and scale up HIV antiretroviral therapy and comprehensive prevention services.

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Title: Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study
Creators - without role: Ali H. Mokdad - Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Charbel El Bcheraoui - University of Washington
Haidong Wang - University of Washington
Raghid Charara - Amer Univ Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
Ibrahim Khalil - University of Washington
Maziar Moradi-Lakeh - College Station Medical Center
Ashkan Afshin - University of Washington
Michael Collison - University of Washington
Farah Daoud - University of Washington
Adrienne Chew - University of Washington
Kristopher J. Krohn - University of Washington
Austin Carter - University of Washington
Kyle J. Foreman - University of Washington
Fei He - University of Washington
Nicholas J. Kassebaum - University of Washington
Michael Kutz - University of Washington
Mojde Mirarefin - University of Washington
Grant Nguyen - University of Washington
Naris Silpakit - University of Washington
Amber Sligar - University of Washington
Amanuel Alemu Abajobir
Kalkidan Hassen Abate - Jimma University
Kaja M. Abbas - Virginia Tech
Foad Abd-Allah - Cairo University
Semaw Ferede Abera - Mekelle University
Kelemework Adane - Mekelle University
Arnav Agarwal - University of Toronto
Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri - Lund University
Alireza Ahmadi - College Station Medical Center
Muktar Beshir Ahmed - Jimma University
Faris Hasan Al Lami - College Station Medical Center
Khurshid Alam - University of Melbourne
Deena Alasfoor - Minist Hlth, Al Khuwair, Oman
Reza Alizadeh-Navaei - College Station Medical Center
Fatma Al-Maskari - United Arab Emirates University
Rajaa Al-Raddadi - College Station Medical Center
Khalid A. Altirkawi - King Saud University
Nelson Alvis-Guzman - University of Cartagena
Walid Ammar - Minist Publ Hlth, Beirut, Lebanon
Nahla Anber - Mansoura University
Carl Abelardo T. Antonio - University of the Philippines Manila
Palwasha Anwari
Hamid Asayesh - Supreme Council Of Health
Rana Jawad Asghar - Forum
Tesfay Mehari Atey - Mekelle University
Euripide Frinel G. Arthur Avokpaho - IRCB, LERAS Afrique, Cotonou, Benin
Tadesse Awoke Ayele - University of Gondar
Peter Azzopardi - Burnet Institute
Umar Bacha - Supreme Council Of Health
Aleksandra Barac - University of Belgrade
Till Baernighausen - Harvard University
Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi - Drew University
David Geffen
Neeraj Bedi - College Station Medical Center
Isabela M. Bensenor - Univ Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Adugnaw Berhane - Debre Berhan University
Pascal Obong Bessong - University of Venda
Addisu Shunu Beyene - Haramaya University
Zulfiqar A. Bhutta - Aga Khan University
Charles Birungi - UCL, London, England
Zahid A. Butt - Al Shifa Trust Eye Hosp, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado - Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
Hadi Danawi - Walden University
Jose das Neves - Universidade do Porto
Kebede Deribe - Supreme Council Of Health
Amare Deribew - University of Oxford
Don C. Des Jarlais - Mt Sinai Beth Israel, New York, NY USA
Samath D. Dharmaratne - University of Peradeniya
Shirin Djalalinia - College Station Medical Center
Kerrie E. Doyle - RMIT University
Aman Yesuf Endries - Arba Minch University
Babak Eshrati - College Station Medical Center
Emerito Jose Aquino Faraon - University of the Philippines Manila
Maryam S. Farvid - Harvard University
Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad - Karolinska Institutet
Tesfaye Regassa Feyissa - Wollega University
Florian Fischer - Supreme Council Of Health
Alberto L. Garcia-Basteiro - Manhica Hlth Res Ctr, Manhica, Maputo, Mozambique
Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot - Jimma University
Hailay Abrha Gesesew
Melkamu Dedefo Gishu - Haramaya University
Elizabeth Glaser - Brandeis University
Philimon N. Gona - University of Massachusetts Boston
Harish Chander Gugnani - Supreme Council Of Health
Rahul Gupta - West Virginia Bur Publ Hlth, Charleston, WV USA
Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli - UCL, London, England
Gessessew Bugssa Hailu - Mekelle University
Randah Ribhi Hamadeh - Arabian Gulf University
Mitiku Teshome Hambisa - Haramaya University
Samer Hamidi - Hamdan Bin Mohammed Smart University
Hilda L. Harb - Minist Publ Hlth, Beirut, Lebanon
Habtamu Abera Hareri - Univ Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Nobuyuki Horita - Yokohama City University
Abdullatif Husseini - Birzeit University
Ahmed Ibrahim - Alshaab Teaching Hosp, Khartoum, Sudan
Spencer Lewis James - University of Colorado Denver
Jost B. Jonas - Heidelberg
Amir Kasaeian - University of Tehran
Nigussie Assefa Kassaw - Addis Ababa University
Yousef Saleh Khader - College Station Medical Center
Ejaz Ahmad Khan - Hlth Serv Acad, Islamabad, Punjab, Pakistan
Gulfaraz Khan - United Arab Emirates University
Abdullah Tawfih Abdullah Khoja - Mohammed Ibn Saudi Univ, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Jagdish Khubchandani - Ball State University
Yun Jin Kim - Southern Univ Coll, Fac Chinese Med, Skudai, Malaysia
Ai Koyanagi - Parc Sanitari St Joan Deu CIBERSAM, Res & Dev Unit, Barce- Iona, Spain
Barthelemy Kuate Defo - Supreme Council Of Health
Heidi J. Larson - University of Washington
Asma Abdul Latif - Women Univ, Dept Zool, Lahore Coll, Lahore, Pakistan
Cheru Tesema Leshargie - Debre Markos University
Raimundas Lunevicius - Aintree Univ Hosp Natl Hlth Serv Fdn Trust, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek - Aswan University
Reza Majdzadeh - University of Tehran
Azeem Majeed - Imperial Coll London, Dept Primary Care Publ Hlth, London, England
Reza Malekzadeh - University of Tehran
Tsegahun Manyazewal - Ethiopian Publ Hlth Assoc, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Desalegn Markos - Madda Walabu University
Habibolah Masoudi Farid - State Welf Org, Tehran, Iran
Alem Mehari - Howard University
Alemayehu B. Mekonnen - University of Gondar
Peter Memiah
Ziad A. Memish - Saudi Minist Hlth, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Walter Mendoza - United Nations
Melkamu Merid Mengesha
Desalegn Tadese Mengistu - Mekelle University
Haftay Berhane Mezgebe - Mekelle University
Francis Apolinary Mhimbira - Ifakara Hlth Inst, Bagamoyo, Tanzania
Ted R. Miller - Pacific Inst Res Evaluat, Calverton, MD USA
Ami R. Moore - Univ North Texas, Denton, TX USA
Ghina R. Mumtaz - Weill Cornell Meicine Qatar, Infect Dis Epidemiol Grp, Doha, Qatar
Gopalakrishnan Natarajan - College Station Medical Center
Joel Negin - University of Sydney
Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer - Amer Univ Beirut, Ctr Res Populat & Hlth, Fac Hlth Sci, Beirut, Lebanon
Felix Akpojene Ogbo - Western Sydney University
In-Hwan Oh - Kyung Hee University
Erika Ota - The University of Tokyo
David M. Pereira - Universidade do Porto
Farshad Pourmalek - University of British Columbia
Mostafa Qorbani - College Station Medical Center
Amir Radfar - AT Still Univ, Kirksville, MO USA
Anwar Rafay - Contech
Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar - University of Tehran
Rajesh Kumar Rai - Soc Hlth & Demog Surveillance, Suri, India
Usha Ram - Int Inst Populat Sci, Bombay, Maharashtra, India
David Laith Rawaf - WHO Collaborating Ctr, Imperial Coll London, London, England
Salman Rawaf - Imperial Coll London, London, England
Andre M. N. Renzaho
Satar Rezaei
Mohammad Sadegh Rezai - College Station Medical Center
Hirbo Shore Roba - Haramaya University
Gholamreza Roshandel - University of Tehran
Mahdi Safdarian - University of Tehran
Saeid Safiri - Supreme Council Of Health
Mohammad Ali Sahraian - University of Tehran
Payman Salamati - University of Tehran
Abdallah M. Samy - Ain Shams University
Benn Sartorius - University of KwaZulu-Natal
Sadaf G. Sepanlou - University of Tehran
Masood Ali Shaikh
Morteza Shamsizadeh - Supreme Council Of Health
Ephrem Lejore Sibamo Sibamo - Wolaita Sodo University
Jasvinder A. Singh - University of Alabama
Badr H. A. Sobaih - King Saud University
Sergey Soshnikov - Russian Federat, Fed Res Inst Hlth Org & Informat, Minist Hlth, Moscow, Russia
Muawiyyah Babale Sufiyan - Ahmadu Bello University
Bryan L. Sykes - Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Criminol Law & Soc, Irvine, CA USA
Nuno Taveira - Inst Super Ciencias Saude Egas Moniz, Almada, Portugal
Teketo Kassaw Tegegne - Markos Univ, Debre Markos, Ethiopia
Arash Tehrani-Banihashemi - College Station Medical Center
Tesfalidet Tekelab - Wollega University
Girma Temam Shifa - Arba Minch University
Mohamad-Hani Temsah - King Saud University
Belay Tesssema - Ababa Univ, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Roman Topor-Madry - Jagiellonian University
Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja - Fed Teaching Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Abakaliki, Nigeria
Olalekan A. Uthman - University of Warwick
Stein Emil Vollset - University of Washington
Fiseha Wadilo
Tolassa Wakayo - Jimma University
Minyahil Alebachew - Univ Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Abdulhalik Workicho - Jimma University
Shimelash Bitew Workie - Wolaita Sodo University
Mohsen Yaghoubi
Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew - Mekelle University
Hassen Hamid Yimam - Mizan Tepi University
Naohiro Yonemoto - Kyoto University
Seok-Jun Yoon - Korea Univ, Dept Prevent Med, Coll Med, Seoul, South Korea
Marcel Yotebieng - The Ohio State University
Mustafa Z. Younis - Jackson State University
Maysaa El Sayed Zaki - Mansoura University
Aisha O. Jumaan
Theo Vos - University of Washington
Simon I. Hay - University of Washington
Mohsen Naghavi - University of Washington
Christopher J. L. Murray - University of Washington
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Reg
Publication Details: International journal of public health, Vol.63(Suppl 1), pp.123-136
Publisher: Frontiers Media Sa
Number of pages: 14
Grant note: Bill AMP; Melinda Gates Foundation; CGIAR
Identifiers: 9913759908331
Academic Unit: Alfaisal University; Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU); King Khalid University; King Saud University
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article